Navigating the Camelback Effect: Demand Forecasting in a Tariff Distorted Market
Learn how tariffs reshape demand curves and why traditional models fail. Explore smarter forecasting strategies and the Tariff Demand Impact Index (TDII). Download Now!
Updated:
December 8, 2025
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Download the White Paper: The Camelback Effect—Forecasting in a Tariff-Shocked Market
Tariff disruptions aren’t temporary—they’re structural. One policy shift can spike demand, distort price sensitivity, and collapse historical models overnight. Promotions misfire. Loyalty evaporates. What used to be forecastable now feels unpredictable.
This white paper breaks down:
- Why traditional demand models fail in tariff-driven environments
- How retailers can detect and respond to “The Camelback Effect”—the surge, dip, and flatten cycle
- Where standard elasticity assumptions collapse—and what replaces them
- How adaptive forecasting strategies can restore clarity in a chaotic market
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